Elite Real Estate Pros

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Pending Home Sales Improve in September

Daily Real Estate News | Thursday, October 25, 2012

Pending home sales were little changed in September but remain well above a year ago, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, edged up 0.3 percent to 99.5 in September from 99.2 in August and is 14.5 percent above September 2011 when it was 86.9. The data reflect contracts but not closings.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said pending home sales continue to hold a higher ground. “Home contract activity remains at an elevated level in contrast with recent years, but currently appears to be bouncing around in a narrow range,” he said. “This means only minor movement is likely in near-term existing-home sales, but with positive underlying market fundamentals they should continue on an uptrend in 2013.”

Pending home sales have risen for 17 consecutive months on a year-over-year basis, leading to the solid recovery seen in closed existing-home sales this year. In September all regions were showing double-digit increases in contract activity from a year ago with the exception of the West, which is constrained by limited inventory.

The PHSI in the Northeast rose 1.4 percent to 79.3 in September and is 26.1 percent higher than a year ago. In the Midwest the index fell 5.8 percent to 89.5 in September but is 19.3 percent above September 2011. Pending home sales in the South increased 1.0 percent to an index of 111.5 in September and are 17.6 percent higher than a year ago. In the West, the index rose 4.3 percent in September to 106.9, but is only 0.8 percent above September 2011.

Housing affordability conditions are forecast to remain favorable through next year, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage staying near record lows for the balance of this year but gradually rising to 4 percent in the second half of 2013.

Completed existing-home sales in 2012 will total close to 4.6 million, an increase of 9 percent, and are projected to rise about 9 percent next year to nearly 5.1 million. With notably lower housing inventory, the national median existing-home price is expected to increase 6 percent this year and 5 percent in 2013.

Source: NAR

Neal Buckner, Broker/Owner/REALTOR®, CDPE

(520) 705-1798

Email: info@eliterealestatepros.com

Sunday, September 9, 2012

Survey: Homes Are Selling Faster

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, September 07, 2012

Sales are quickening their pace as the time to sell a home decreases and falls more in line with a “balanced” housing market, according to new research by the National Association of REALTORS®.

The median time a home listed for sale was on the market in July was 69 days, down from 98 days one year earlier. Broken down further, one-third of homes purchased in July were on the market for less than a month, and one in five of homes purchased in July were on the market for at least six months.

“As inventory has tightened homes have been selling more quickly,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “A notable shortening of time-on-market began this spring, and this has created a general balance between home buyers and sellers in much of the country. This equilibrium is supporting sustained price growth, and homes that are correctly priced tend to sell quickly, while those that aren’t often languish on the market.”

By the end July, a 6.4-month supply of homes were on the market at the current sales pace. That is 31.2 percent below year-ago levels, when there was a 9.3-month supply.

With supplies of homes tighter, economists expect home prices to continue their trend upward.

“Our current forecast is for the median existing home price to rise 4.5 to 5 percent this year and about 5 percent in 2013, which is somewhat stronger than historic norms because of the inventory shortfall that is most pronounced in the low price ranges,” Yun says.

Source: National Association of REALTORS®